Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000476 0.000516 0.000558 0.000605 0.000655 0.000708 0.000768
2026-02-01 0.000408 0.000462 0.000522 0.000591 0.000669 0.000755 0.000857
2026-02-08 0.000360 0.000424 0.000495 0.000581 0.000682 0.000797 0.000938
2026-02-15 0.000325 0.000394 0.000474 0.000574 0.000695 0.000836 0.001015
2026-02-22 0.000297 0.000370 0.000457 0.000568 0.000705 0.000871 0.001086
2026-03-01 0.000273 0.000349 0.000441 0.000561 0.000715 0.000904 0.001154
2026-03-08 0.000251 0.000328 0.000424 0.000551 0.000717 0.000926 0.001209
2026-03-15 0.000233 0.000311 0.000409 0.000543 0.000721 0.000949 0.001264
2026-03-22 0.000215 0.000292 0.000391 0.000529 0.000716 0.000960 0.001303
2026-03-29 0.000201 0.000277 0.000378 0.000521 0.000717 0.000978 0.001353
2026-04-05 0.000190 0.000267 0.000370 0.000518 0.000726 0.001006 0.001415
2026-04-12 0.000180 0.000258 0.000363 0.000516 0.000734 0.001034 0.001478
2026-04-19 0.000170 0.000248 0.000355 0.000514 0.000744 0.001066 0.001552
2026-04-26 0.000159 0.000235 0.000342 0.000504 0.000743 0.001084 0.001606
2026-05-03 0.000149 0.000224 0.000332 0.000497 0.000745 0.001104 0.001665
2026-05-10 0.000140 0.000214 0.000322 0.000491 0.000748 0.001127 0.001727
2026-05-17 0.000132 0.000205 0.000314 0.000486 0.000752 0.001149 0.001790
2026-05-24 0.000125 0.000197 0.000306 0.000481 0.000755 0.001172 0.001854
2026-05-31 0.000117 0.000188 0.000296 0.000472 0.000753 0.001184 0.001901
2026-06-07 0.000111 0.000180 0.000287 0.000465 0.000752 0.001200 0.001954
2026-06-14 0.000104 0.000171 0.000276 0.000453 0.000743 0.001201 0.001985
2026-06-21 0.000098 0.000164 0.000268 0.000446 0.000742 0.001215 0.002035
2026-06-28 0.000094 0.000159 0.000263 0.000444 0.000747 0.001240 0.002105